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Saturday, 21 January 2012

Truth Of opinion Poll

Recently India Today  announced the results of its opinion poll , which  overwhelming supported congress  come back in power in Punjab. It gave  advantages of more then 20 seats to congress , while  a loss of 25 seats to Akalidal  .To me its looks like clear paid advertizement  supporting congress party in Punjab . First of all I would like to tell here that at last three occasions India today proved wrong and its congress supporting  opinion polls bite the dust and there was  big discrepancy.
I would like to discuss opinion  presented by Indian today here . While giving advantages to congress , poll discussed about  anti incumbency factor , which I can trust  and it always exist . But Congress also have anti incumbency also which coming form its central government . So  I would like to neutralized anti incumbency factor here . Second It gave another factor which is bringing back congress in to power is Manpreet factor , which is does not exist at all . In actual it working in favor of akalidal . PPP of Manpreet Badal is  getting overwhelming support from  leftist in punjab , which has a traditional vote . Each and every village has  about 50-60 votes  which comes from communist party and they are well known as  comrades of Punjab. They never voted  in favor of akalidal because, they consider akalidal as communal party. They either voted for leftist candidates and on last day when they realized that their  candidate is loosing    they voted for congress. Son In each constituency  about  15-2000 votes  which was going to congress just  because they did not have any options , but now they have their own strong candidate in term PPP .Which are in fight in all triangular fights .So congress is loosing this votes bank this time . India Today opinion poll never discussed this factor . I would like to  talk about khalistanies also here ,who note only oppose badals but I would say they hate badals. To oppose badals  even they go on extent  to support congress . I have seen every where in Punjab  during last election these so called Khalsa,s supporting congress to defeat  badals. They are very happry with  Manpreet,s revolt and working all four heart out for manpreet. Every constituency have about 1000 votes of these orthodox people. So even if Manpreet gets 500 votes from these hardliners its gain for akalidal .
Next factor which  India today could not see  the rebel factor  of congress. I do not people who were conducting this so called opinion poll  got color blindness or some other powers which made them to ignore this factor. Any way even congress high command thinks that  about 15 seats they are struggling  due to this rebel factor . There are 12 rebel candidate , which converted this fight in to one side at least tilted towards akalidal , which were suppose to be neck to neck fight . I do not know while  whole media is crying about rebels of punjab , why India Today was not able to see and comment . This makes thing suspicious .
So I can smell a rat here in this poll .To me this one is a paid  advertizement  and election commission  should look in to this .

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