Akalidal All set to comeback

  Chart and fingures   :Courtesy To The Tribune

Small Parties are  going to make a big difference  in forthcoming elections . Specially PPP, led by Manpreet Badal is going to be big factor in next government formation . That Does not mean that PPP is going to win big number of seats, but the calculations are showing that ppp is going to be a big factor in AKALI dal government formations .According to calculations if PPP factor is causing a erode to  congress vote bank then alkali dal is going to win on 75 seats and if PPP erodes Kakalina vote bank than  congress will make  its government with a thin majority like 58-60 seats .
According to The Tribune
The assembly elections are expected to throw up astounding results as the delimitation exercise has changed demography in 60 of the 117 constituencies.

If the ruling SAD-BJP is facing anti-incumbency in the state, the Congress is facing the same on account of it heading the government at the Center. The Congress could not form government in 2007 despite polling 40.94 per cent votes, a jump of 5.13 per cent votes over the 2002 elections. Even as the Congress’ vote percentage is likely to go up this time, it will not determine the number of seats that it will win.

The SAD had got 37.09 per cent votes in the 2007 elections, an improvement over its 2002 performance when it secured 31.08 per cent votes. Since the SAD fought these elections in alliance with the BJP, the votes polled by the latter influenced the results. When the Congress came into power in 2002, the BJP votes had dropped to 5.67 per cent but in 2007, the party secured 8.28 per cent votes.

In 1997, the SAD-BJP together polled 45.97 per cent votes and in 2007, the alliance polled 45.37 votes. In 2002, the SAD-BJP polled 36.75 per cent votes as compared to 35.81 per cent polled by the Congress. In the 1997, 2002 and 2007 elections, Independents, mostly rebels, polled more votes than all the other political parties put together (except the Congress, the SAD and the BJP).

If the anti-incumbency factor is considered, the percentage of votes that the SAD-BJP alliance is likely to poll is likely to go down . Ultimately, it will be the votes polled by the Independents and smaller parties that will determine the poll outcome. 
So by means all calculations 

So If PPP  get about 5-6 % votes form any party  its going to be set back for that political party .Trend says that this factor is going to give a upper hand to akalidal . Because all the groups who are joining PPP are the groups  which are always at the last moment turned up to as congress vote bank  in absence of strong candidates. Like Hardliners and all other akali groups    always opted to  vote against akalidal badal , while left parties never voted for akalidal seeing as communal parties , not only this ,but  most of the comrades voted all the voted against akalidal .So Manpreet looks like has done a great favor to his brother   by  gathering these all anti akalidal  votes under one umbrella .